Welcome to Dekant

Dekant is a prediction market on Solana where you don't pick a side; you draw a curve.

A bet on Dekant is a Gaussian curve over a number-line outcome. The peak is what you think the answer is; the width is how sure you are.

Most prediction markets give you two boxes: Yes or No. Real beliefs don't fit. A doctor doesn't say "this patient will recover", she says "70 to 90 percent, depending on the next week". A trader doesn't say "BTC will be $120,000", they say "somewhere between $100K and $140K, most likely $115K".

Dekant lets you put capital behind that whole shape. You set a center (where you think the answer lands) and a conviction (how sure you are), and the market routes your stake across a continuous range of outcomes weighted by a Gaussian curve. When the question resolves, you get paid based on how close your peak was to the actual outcome.

Why "continuous"

To ask one numerical question on a binary platform, you need many separate yes/no markets — one per bracket. Liquidity gets sliced between them, and traders have to play bracket-edge games. Dekant collapses all of those into one market.

Binary platform35 markets

$60K

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$62K

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$64K

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$66K

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$68K

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$70K

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$72K

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$74K

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$76K

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$78K

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$80K

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$82K

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$84K

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$86K

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$88K

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$90K

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$92K

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$94K

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$96K

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$98K

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$100K

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$102K

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$104K

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$106K

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$108K

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$110K

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$112K

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$114K

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$116K

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$118K

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$120K

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$122K

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$124K

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$126K

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$128K

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35 markets to ask one question

→

Dekant1 market

One market. Your full belief.

Same question, two designs. Left: 35 yes/no markets, fragmented liquidity. Right: 1 market, full distribution.

Three things to know

Continuous outcomes. Instead of running 35 separate Yes/No markets to ask "what will SOL be on July 1?", Dekant runs one market with up to 256 bins covering the full range.
L2-norm CFAMM. Liquidity is automated through a constant-function AMM with the invariant Sum(x[i]^2) = k^2. No order books. No counterparties to find.
Built on Solana. Cheap, fast, on-chain settlement. All math is fixed-point u64/u128, no floating-point anywhere.

Where to go next

New here? Read How it works for the trader's mental model.
Already familiar with prediction markets? Jump to Drawing your curve for the trade-offs between sharp and wide bets.
Building on top? See Resources for the GitHub repo and math model.

Live status

Dekant is in early access on Solana devnet. Mainnet launch is gated by waitlist position; join the waitlist to get in.