Dekant
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Welcome to Dekant

Dekant is a prediction market on Solana where you don't pick a side; you draw a curve.

μ = $100$50$100$150$200$250
A bet on Dekant is a Gaussian curve over a number-line outcome. The peak is what you think the answer is; the width is how sure you are.

Most prediction markets give you two boxes: Yes or No. Real beliefs don't fit. A doctor doesn't say "this patient will recover", she says "70 to 90 percent, depending on the next week". A trader doesn't say "BTC will be $120,000", they say "somewhere between $100K and $140K, most likely $115K".

Dekant lets you put capital behind that whole shape. You set a center (where you think the answer lands) and a conviction (how sure you are), and the market routes your stake across a continuous range of outcomes weighted by a Gaussian curve. When the question resolves, you get paid based on how close your peak was to the actual outcome.

Why "continuous"

To ask one numerical question on a binary platform, you need many separate yes/no markets - one per bracket. Liquidity gets sliced between them, and traders have to play bracket-edge games. Dekant collapses all of those into one market.

Binary platform35 markets
$60
Y/N
$62
Y/N
$64
Y/N
$66
Y/N
$68
Y/N
$70
Y/N
$72
Y/N
$74
Y/N
$76
Y/N
$78
Y/N
$80
Y/N
$82
Y/N
$84
Y/N
$86
Y/N
$88
Y/N
$90
Y/N
$92
Y/N
$94
Y/N
$96
Y/N
$98
Y/N
$100
Y/N
$102
Y/N
$104
Y/N
$106
Y/N
$108
Y/N
$110
Y/N
$112
Y/N
$114
Y/N
$116
Y/N
$118
Y/N
$120
Y/N
$122
Y/N
$124
Y/N
$126
Y/N
$128
Y/N

35 markets to ask one question

Dekant1 market

One market. Your full belief.

Same question, two designs. Left: 35 yes/no markets, fragmented liquidity. Right: 1 market, full distribution.

Three things to know

  • Continuous outcomes. Instead of running 35 separate Yes/No markets to ask "what will SOL be on July 1?", Dekant runs one market with up to 256 bins covering the full range.
  • L₂-norm CFAMM. Liquidity is automated through a constant-function AMM with the invariant Σ xᵢ² = k². No order books. No counterparties to find.
  • Built on Solana. Cheap, fast, on-chain settlement. All math is fixed-point u64/u128, no floating-point anywhere.

Where to go next

  • New here? Read How it works for the trader's mental model.
  • Already familiar with prediction markets? Jump to Drawing your curve for the trade-offs between sharp and wide bets.
  • Want the math? See the full derivation at math.dekant.xyz — L₂-norm CFAMM, trading math, liquidity math, and the solvency theorem.
  • Building on top? The protocol code will open-source after mainnet launch. The math model is already public at math.dekant.xyz.

Live status

Dekant is in early access on Solana devnet. Mainnet launch is gated by waitlist position; join the waitlist to get in.

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