Market types
Dekant supports three kinds of markets. The first two are familiar from existing prediction-market platforms; the third is the differentiator.
Binary
Two outcomes: Yes or No. Used for crisp factual questions.
"Will the FOMC cut rates by 50 bps at the next meeting?"
Trading is straightforward: you buy Yes or you buy No. At resolution, the winning side redeems for $1 per token. Same shape as any binary prediction market.
Multi-outcome
Three to thirty-two discrete outcomes. Used when the question has a small fixed set of possibilities.
"Which studio wins Best Picture this year?" Outcomes: A24 · Searchlight · Universal · Warner · Other
You buy tokens for one outcome at a time. At resolution, the winning outcome's tokens redeem for $1 each; the rest go to zero.
Continuous
Two to two-hundred-fifty-six bins covering a numerical range. Used when the answer is a number on a line.
"What will SOL be on July 1, 2026?" Range: $50 to $500, divided into 64 bins of $7 each.
Two ways to trade:
- Bin-by-bin — buy a single bin, like betting on one slot.
- Distribution buy — set a center (μ) and conviction (σ), and your stake is allocated across all bins weighted by the Normal PDF.
Almost all real continuous-market trading uses distribution buys. That's the "draw a curve" flow Dekant is built around.
Comparison
| Binary | Multi-outcome | Continuous | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outcomes | 2 | 3–32 | 2–256 bins |
| Trading style | Discrete buy/sell | Discrete buy/sell | Distribution buy/sell |
| Best for | Crisp factual questions | Categorical choices | Numerical questions |
| Settlement | Winning side pays $1/token | Winning outcome pays $1/token | Outcome lands in one bin; that bin pays $1/token |
For most crypto, election-margin, and benchmark-score questions, continuous is the natural shape. For "did event X happen", binary is fine.